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Definition
Treasury notes are sold at regularly scheduled public auctions. Competitive bids at these auctions determine the interest rate paid on each Treasury note issue. Twenty-three primary dealers (as of July 2006) are authorized and obligated to submit competitive tenders at Treasury auctions. Dealers can hold, resell, or trade the securities with other firms. The Treasury usually announces the size, date and time of the monthly two-year note auction on the third or fourth Monday of each month, with the auction taking place two days later. The 2-year note is issued (settled) on the last day of the month. In the event of the last day falling on a weekend or holiday, the security is settled on the first business day of the subsequent month.
Highlights
Bidding was solid for the Treasury's monthly 2-year note auction, which posted a high yield of 4.921 percent that was right at expectations and a solid bid-to-cover ratio of 2.32. On the negative side was soft demand from non-dealers who took only 23 percent of the auction, well down from 34 percent in the July offering and a long-term average of 37 percent. The Treasury market showed no initial reaction to the results.
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When the 2-year note is higher than the federal funds rate, it usually suggests that bond investors are expecting the federal funds rate to rise. Conversely, when the 2-year note is lower than the fed funds rate, it suggests that investors are anticipating a rate cut.
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| Data Source: Haver Analytics Consensus Data Source: Market News International | |
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