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  • July 12, 2024

    High points for US economic data scheduled for July 15 week

    Expectations are high that the FOMC will be cutting rates soon – perhaps at the September 17-18 meeting. Any economic data that would support that outlook will be welcome. The reports during the July 15 […]

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  • July 12, 2024

    Global data roughly hitting forecasts; China underperforming

    Global economic data came in a bit nearer to forecasts in the prior week, improving to minus 8 on the Relative Performance Index (RPI) and minus 11 less prices (RPI-P). These scores are only slightly […]

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  • July 11, 2024

    FOMC decisions in national election seasons

    One of the main themes of the July 2024 semiannual monetary policy testimony was the need for the Federal Reserve to remain an independent central bank against the not-so-subtle subtext that US central bankers need […]

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  • July 5, 2024

    High points for US economic data scheduled for July 8 week

    There are two important questions for the July 8 week. The first is what will Fed Chair Jerome Powell say in his semiannual monetary policy testimony at 10:00 ET on Tuesday before the Senate Banking […]

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  • July 5, 2024

    Global data lagging expectations; China, US underperforming

    Global economic data have been missing expectations since the end of May, a sustained trend that points to central-bank rate cuts and a decline for Econoday’s Global Policy Rate (a weighted average of the major […]

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  • June 28, 2024

    High points for US economic data scheduled for July 1 week

    The July 1 week includes the Independence Day observance on Thursday when there will be a full close of stock and bond markets in the US. The timing of the federal holiday will cause some […]

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