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  • September 17, 2024

    FOMC preview: A rate cut, but what else?

    Fed policymakers will always say that no decision is made until they actually meet and consider all the most recent information available. However, they have strongly signaled that they are leaning toward cutting rates at […]

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  • September 13, 2024

    High points for US data in September 16 week

    The FOMC meets on Tuesday and Wednesday amid universal expectations for the first rate cut since the current target range of 5.25-5.50 percent was set in July last year. What is not universal is the […]

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  • September 13, 2024

    Global data subpar versus expectations; US hitting estimates

    Global economic data continue to underperform relative to forecasts. Econoday’s Relative Performance Index (RPI) fell 6 points in the week to minus 16 and edged a further 3 points lower to minus 20 less prices […]

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  • September 13, 2024

    September BoE MPC Preview: Levels versus trends

    Investors are split on this month’s BoE MPC announcement but the majority call is for no change. The August reduction in Bank Rate to 5.0 percent only got through by the tightest of margins (5-4) […]

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  • September 11, 2024

    Size of 2025 US COLA for Social Security about 2.4 percent

    The average of the July-August CPI-W for 2024 indicates that the cost-of-living-adjustment (COLA) for Social Security recipients will be about 2.4 percent when it goes into effect in January 2025. While the calculation for the […]

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  • September 9, 2024

    September ECB meeting preview: Easy does it

    Following July’s pause, the ECB is widely seen resuming its easing path this week. Falling inflation, a strengthening euro and an expected Federal Reserve rate cut next week provide all the scope needed while a […]

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