• September 22, 2023

    High points for US economic data: September 25 week

    While the economic data calendar is well-populated in the September 25 week, nothing will distract from the looming federal shutdown if Congress fails to fund the government by September 30. A failure to pass a […]

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  • September 22, 2023

    Podcast – Central bank wrap and a word on oil

    After the recent round of central bank announcements, hopes are building that many tightening cycles may finally be nearing an end. However, with prices up around 30 percent since last June, the oil market could yet mean some unwelcome upside surprises in future inflation reports.

  • September 18, 2023

    September 19-20 FOMC meeting should see a pause in rate hikes

    Expectations are that the FOMC will leave rates unchanged after their deliberations on September 19-20. These are unlikely to be disappointed. The FOMC is unanimous in its determination to quell inflation and bring it back […]

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  • September 15, 2023

    US and UK outperforming ahead of rate announcements, Switzerland underperforming

    Outperformance by Canada and the US continues to offset underperformance in Japan and the Eurozone, keeping Econoday’s Relative Performance Index (RPI) just north of the zero line at plus 3 to indicate that global economic […]

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  • September 15, 2023

    September SNB MPA preview: Policy to ignore falling inflation

    Speculation about another tightening at this week’s Monetary Policy Assessment (MPA) has eased somewhat in the wake of the recent slew of weak real economy data, sub-2 percent readings on both headline and core inflation, […]

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  • September 15, 2023

    September BoE MPC Preview: The policy dilemma deepens

    Facing both renewed risks of recession but also still stubbornly high inflation, the policy dilemma facing this week’s BoE MPC meeting is even more stark than ever. In August, only one dove, Swati Dhingra, broke […]

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