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  • Global RPI at zero indicating data are hitting forecasts
    Gallery

    Global RPI at zero indicating data are hitting forecasts

    Flash Brief

Global RPI at zero indicating data are hitting forecasts

Improvement for both the US and China last week lifted the global Relative Performance Index (RPI) by 20 points to zero indicating that global data, on net, are exactly hitting Econoday’s consensus forecasts. When excluding [...]

By Jeremy Hawkins|2024-03-10T11:38:01-07:00March 10, 2024|
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  • High points for US economic data scheduled for March 11 week
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    High points for US economic data scheduled for March 11 week

    Flash Brief

High points for US economic data scheduled for March 11 week

The communications blackout period around the March 19-20 FOMC meeting goes into effect at midnight on Saturday, March 9 and runs through midnight on Thursday, March 21. Fed speakers will be absent from the public [...]

By Theresa Sheehan|2024-03-08T07:20:38-08:00March 8, 2024|
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  • Podcast – The credibility brake on interest rate cuts
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    Podcast – The credibility brake on interest rate cuts

    Unplugged

Podcast – The credibility brake on interest rate cuts

Many central banks still seem to attach more risks to easing too early than too late. And while that will reflect the perceived economic fallout from either action, the prospective impact on policy credibility [...]

By Jeremy Hawkins|2024-03-05T13:00:12-08:00March 5, 2024|
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  • March ECB meeting preview: Focus on the forecasts
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    March ECB meeting preview: Focus on the forecasts

    Flash Brief

March ECB meeting preview: Focus on the forecasts

At the ECB’s January meeting, there was a unanimous decision to leave key interest rates on hold and forecasters anticipate the same neutral outcome this week. Thursday’s announcement is widely expected to leave the deposit [...]

By Jeremy Hawkins|2024-03-04T06:43:56-08:00March 4, 2024|
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  • High points for US economic data scheduled for March 4 week
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    High points for US economic data scheduled for March 4 week

    Flash Brief

High points for US economic data scheduled for March 4 week

The March 4 week has two reports that are likely to inform the tone of the deliberations at the upcoming March 19-20 FOMC meeting. However, these will be overshadowed by Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s upcoming [...]

By Theresa Sheehan|2024-03-01T10:09:22-08:00March 1, 2024|
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  • Global RPI at minus 20; US turns lower, China stays lower
    Gallery

    Global RPI at minus 20; US turns lower, China stays lower

    Flash Brief

Global RPI at minus 20; US turns lower, China stays lower

The US has pulled down the Relative Performance Index (RPI) to minus 20 for global data overall and to minus 17 less prices (RPI-P). The downturn in the US RPI, which is now in sizable [...]

By Jeremy Hawkins|2024-03-01T10:00:39-08:00March 1, 2024|
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  • US inflation grinds slowly toward two percent goal
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    US inflation grinds slowly toward two percent goal

    Flash Brief

US inflation grinds slowly toward two percent goal

With the release of the January PCE deflator data, the overall inflation picture at the start of 2024 is one in which further progress on bringing inflation back to the Fed’s two percent flexible average [...]

By Theresa Sheehan|2024-02-29T12:09:15-08:00February 29, 2024|
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  • High points for US economic data scheduled for February 26 week
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    High points for US economic data scheduled for February 26 week

    Flash Brief

High points for US economic data scheduled for February 26 week

Although there is a lot of data on the calendar for the February 26 week, those with market moving potential are few. Much of the data will complete a picture already forming. Although the week [...]

By Theresa Sheehan|2024-02-23T08:21:18-08:00February 23, 2024|
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  • Global RPI at 1 but rate cut hopes still dented
    Gallery

    Global RPI at 1 but rate cut hopes still dented

    Flash Brief

Global RPI at 1 but rate cut hopes still dented

The global economy is performing much as expected. However, a Relative Performance Index of 1 masks a significant divergence between the major regions which, in the main, has left financial markets more cautious about the [...]

By Jeremy Hawkins|2024-02-23T07:49:01-08:00February 23, 2024|
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  • High points for US economic data scheduled for February 19 week
    Gallery

    High points for US economic data scheduled for February 19 week

    Flash Brief

High points for US economic data scheduled for February 19 week

Monday, February 19 is a federal holiday in the US but will have minimal impact on routine release schedules.Most of the economic data will take a backseat to the release of the minutes of the [...]

By Theresa Sheehan|2024-02-16T08:10:32-08:00February 16, 2024|
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